FILED UNDER BFCM· DTC· Tracker

Who is discounting
for BFCM 2026,
and how deep.

182 DTC brands, crawled every night. Each one is measured against its own October, so a brand that always shows marked-down prices does not count as running a sale. Updated from November 1 through Cyber Monday.

Maintained by
Taylor Sicard
Type
Living tracker
Entries
182 brands
Window
Nov 1 to Dec 2, 2026
Key takeaways

Of the 182 DTC brands tracked, 3 are discounting for BFCM as of Nov 1, 2026, measured against each brand's own October. The median discount on their sale items is 33%, and 179 are holding the line at their normal pricing.

  • 3 of 182 are discounting: an on-sale share at least 10 points above their own October, or a sitewide promo email.
  • The median discount on items on sale is 33%. The deepest is 89% at Nuuds.
  • 179 have not moved off their October pricing.
Source: Taylor Sicard, Taylor Sicard Consulting · Nightly catalog crawls and our own email signups · Updated
Part of The Index · TSC living data trackers
Live tracker · Updated from nightly catalog crawls
Last updated Nov 1, 2026
182
Brands tracked
3
Discounting
33%
Median discount
179
Holding the line
Updated every three days from Nov 1, then daily from Nov 24 to Dec 2. Every figure on this page is computed from the crawl and email data when the page is built.

182 DTC brands,
measured against their own October.

Each row is one brand. "October" is the median share of its catalog on sale across its October crawls; "Now" is the latest crawl. A brand counts as discounting when it is at least 10 points above its own October or sends a sitewide promo email.

Table 1 · The ledger182 brands
BrandCategoryOctober on saleNow on saleChangeMedian discountEmail offerStarted
LocksetAccessories0%98%+98 pts30%not trackedNov 1
NuudsApparel3%96%+93 pts41%not trackedNov 1
UnplugsAccessories0%70%+70 pts33%not trackedNov 1
Native PetPets0%10%+10 pts10%No BFCM promo yet-
Dollar Shave ClubPersonal care13%21%+8 pts39%not tracked-
American GiantApparel44%50%+6 pts47%No BFCM promo yet-
TabuOther45%50%+5 pts14%not tracked-
ARQ8Wellness73%77%+5 pts20%not tracked-
Avocado Green MattressHome & sleep57%62%+4 pts20%not tracked-
Fatty15Wellness9%12%+3 pts23%not tracked-
coldlifeWellness0%3%+3 pts17%not tracked-
OSEABeauty21%23%+2 pts21%not tracked-
SURIOther18%20%+2 pts10%not tracked-
OneSkinBeauty33%36%+2 pts11%not tracked-
Candy KittensFood & bev33%35%+1 pts10%not tracked-
True ClassicApparel37%38%+1 pts28%No BFCM promo yet-
Manta SleepHome & sleep49%50%+1 pts10%not tracked-
MomentFood & bev4%5%+1 pts20%not tracked-
StasisWellness19%19%+1 pts42%not tracked-
Alo YogaActivewear9%9%+1 pts30%not tracked-
Dagne DoverAccessories3%3%+0 pts32%not tracked-
BluelandHome & sleep38%38%+0 pts10%not tracked-
ChubbiesApparel48%48%+0 pts41%not tracked-
SpacegoodsWellness64%64%+0 pts33%not tracked-
Pique LifeFood & bev10%11%+0 pts20%not tracked-
Dr. SquatchPersonal care14%15%+0 pts17%No BFCM promo yet-
KitschBeauty29%29%+0 pts35%not tracked-
Nice LaundryHome & sleep10%10%+0 pts40%not tracked-
EllaOlaWellness2%2%+0 pts-not tracked-
KORA OrganicsBeauty6%6%+0 pts26%not tracked-
CutsApparel95%95%+0 pts39%No BFCM promo yet-
Maryruth OrganicsWellness10%10%+0 pts10%not tracked-
FellowHome & sleep8%8%+0 pts20%not tracked-
Act + AcreBeauty0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
ALLDAYWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
AltLabsWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
AquaTruHome & sleep0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Archie & DennisApparel0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
ArmraWellness14%14%+0 pts5%No BFCM promo yet-
AsaraiBeauty18%18%+0 pts18%not tracked-
Aurum VaultAccessories71%71%+0 pts45%not tracked-
Author & CoOther50%50%+0 pts14%not tracked-
AutobrushPersonal care71%71%+0 pts23%not tracked-
AxoltWellness100%100%+0 pts39%not tracked-
Bearbrick AudioAccessories0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
BeastHome & sleep14%14%+0 pts25%not tracked-
BehaveFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
BeisAccessories1%1%+0 pts9%not tracked-
BEROFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
BirddogsApparel0%0%+0 pts-No BFCM promo yet-
BoarderieFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
BoomBoom NaturalsWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
BumblerideHome & sleep34%34%+0 pts20%not tracked-
CarpePersonal care2%2%+0 pts27%not tracked-
CaudabePersonal care0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Chomps foodFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Coley HomeHome & sleep1%1%+0 pts60%not tracked-
CometeerFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Cowboy ColostrumWellness47%47%+0 pts10%not tracked-
CraighillHome & sleep0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
David ProteinFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
DieuxBeauty11%11%+0 pts26%not tracked-
DoseWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
DRMTLGYBeauty32%32%+0 pts20%not tracked-
Every Man JackPersonal care34%34%+0 pts15%not tracked-
fanny nannyPersonal care25%25%+0 pts20%not tracked-
FeastablesFood & bev10%10%+0 pts20%not tracked-
Felix GrayAccessories65%65%+0 pts17%not tracked-
FenoPersonal care0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
GraymatterWellness18%18%+0 pts17%not tracked-
GrazaFood & bev40%40%+0 pts7%not tracked-
Grubbly FarmsPets32%32%+0 pts15%not tracked-
GrünsWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
HexcladHome & sleep17%17%+0 pts30%not tracked-
HiyaWellness24%24%+0 pts50%not tracked-
HumanNWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
HumanraceBeauty0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
HuppyWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
HydrantWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
HygieneLabPersonal care52%52%+0 pts10%not tracked-
Immun DailyWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Instant HydrationFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
JambysApparel5%5%+0 pts25%not tracked-
JonesWellness35%35%+0 pts20%not tracked-
Jones RoadBeauty7%7%+0 pts43%not tracked-
JukeboxOther0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
JücedFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
KaexOther20%20%+0 pts6%not tracked-
Krazy KleanHome & sleep69%69%+0 pts37%not tracked-
KuruFootwear0%0%+0 pts30%not tracked-
LeLickWellness5%5%+0 pts10%not tracked-
Lemme LiveWellness44%44%+0 pts11%not tracked-
Let LooseWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Liquid DeathFood & bev8%8%+0 pts40%not tracked-
Liquid IVFood & bev25%25%+0 pts11%No BFCM promo yet-
LoamWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Loop EarplugsAccessories0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Love WellnessWellness3%3%+0 pts54%not tracked-
LYMAWellness3%3%+0 pts10%not tracked-
MagnaWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Maison CustomApparel0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Mellow SleepWellness93%93%+0 pts33%not tracked-
metabioticsWellness100%100%+0 pts26%not tracked-
Mid Day SquaresFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
MiilsFood & bev14%14%+0 pts17%not tracked-
MindBellyWellness50%50%+0 pts24%not tracked-
MomentousWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
MuseWellness33%33%+0 pts20%not tracked-
notcoyOther4%4%+0 pts25%not tracked-
NuropodWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
NutropsWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
ObviWellness58%58%+0 pts56%not tracked-
OrionWellness13%13%+0 pts20%not tracked-
PhoneSoapAccessories30%30%+0 pts31%not tracked-
PickieFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Plant PeopleWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
PoubelHome & sleep0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Pretty ProteinFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
realsyFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
RefyBeauty14%14%+0 pts21%not tracked-
RhodeBeauty0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Rogue SnacksFood & bev60%60%+0 pts27%not tracked-
SaladPowerFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
sansBeauty0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
SHIFTOther5%5%+0 pts17%not tracked-
Sporty & RichApparel0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
StamenOther0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Sun PowderWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
The Skinny ConfidentialBeauty0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
TherabodyWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
TouchlandPersonal care0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
TushyHome & sleep1%1%+0 pts48%not tracked-
UndoWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
WaterboyFood & bev0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Wild RomanOther15%15%+0 pts26%not tracked-
Zenos HealthWellness0%0%+0 pts-not tracked-
Zesty PawsPets14%14%+0 pts10%not tracked-
MadhappyApparel0%0%0 pts75%not tracked-
ParachuteHome & sleep11%11%0 pts25%No BFCM promo yet-
Cozy EarthHome & sleep7%7%0 pts10%No BFCM promo yet-
RonningOther1%1%0 pts10%not tracked-
Boll and BranchHome & sleep10%10%0 pts30%not tracked-
SAXXApparel46%46%0 pts40%not tracked-
unhideOther3%3%0 pts5%not tracked-
IM8Wellness5%5%0 pts21%not tracked-
PromixFood & bev8%8%0 pts10%not tracked-
waterdropFood & bev27%26%0 pts22%not tracked-
BearabyHome & sleep19%18%0 pts15%not tracked-
StanleyHome & sleep21%20%0 pts50%No BFCM promo yet-
Fly by JingFood & bev3%3%0 pts15%No BFCM promo yet-
Native UnionAccessories38%38%0 pts40%not tracked-
GlossierBeauty19%18%-1 pts21%not tracked-
VispFood & bev5%4%-1 pts8%not tracked-
FeeturesActivewear63%63%-1 pts10%not tracked-
Sarah FlintFootwear46%46%-1 pts29%not tracked-
CreateWellness62%62%-1 pts12%not tracked-
WMP EyewearAccessories20%19%-1 pts36%not tracked-
ButcherBoxFood & bev27%26%-1 pts30%not tracked-
I Love UglyApparel13%12%-1 pts51%not tracked-
Freaks of NatureBeauty40%39%-1 pts15%not tracked-
WESNApparel14%13%-1 pts20%not tracked-
Laura GellerBeauty62%61%-1 pts62%not tracked-
Ikigai CasesAccessories11%10%-1 pts14%not tracked-
CadenceHome & sleep14%13%-1 pts5%not tracked-
Bloon ParisAccessories1%0%-1 pts-not tracked-
Everyday DoseFood & bev14%13%-1 pts33%not tracked-
NegativeApparel48%47%-1 pts18%not tracked-
NodpodHome & sleep13%12%-2 pts24%not tracked-
ArraeWellness16%14%-2 pts11%not tracked-
Sunday CitizenHome & sleep38%35%-2 pts20%not tracked-
FlausWellness65%62%-2 pts15%not tracked-
BrooklinenHome & sleep14%12%-2 pts40%No BFCM promo yet-
DermalogicaBeauty47%45%-2 pts26%not tracked-
D.FranklinAccessories43%41%-3 pts30%not tracked-
Happy MammothWellness58%55%-3 pts14%not tracked-
Fenty BeautyBeauty13%10%-3 pts50%not tracked-
Magic SpoonFood & bev14%11%-3 pts5%not tracked-
ManukoraFood & bev33%30%-3 pts53%not tracked-
NeuroWellness38%34%-4 pts10%not tracked-
LoftieHome & sleep14%11%-4 pts40%not tracked-
EskiinHome & sleep11%6%-6 pts33%not tracked-
Mars MenPersonal care100%68%-32 pts50%not tracked-
On sale = a variant whose compare-at price is above its price. Discount = 1 minus price over compare-at, median across a brand's items on sale. Email offers come from our own signups to each brand; "not tracked" means we have no signup there, not that the brand sent nothing.

Which categories
moved first.

Table 2 · By category11 categories
CategoryBrandsOctober median on saleDiscountingMedian discount
Wellness495%0-
Food & bev314%0-
Home & sleep2514%0-
Beauty1914%0-
Apparel1513%141%
Accessories147%232%
Other115%0-
Personal care1114%0-
Pets314%0-
Activewear236%0-
Footwear223%0-

What the promo emails
offered.

From the 13 brands we are signed up to, 0 have sent a BFCM promo so far. Welcome and abandoned-cart offers are left out: brands send those all year.

Table 3 · Offer types in BFCM promo emails0 brands
Offer typeBrands
Percent off0
Dollars off0
BOGO or bundle0
Gift with purchase0
Free shipping0
Early access0
A brand can use more than one type.

When brands started,
and who has not.

Table 4 · When discounting started3 discounting
StartedBrands
Early November (Nov 1 to 20)3
Black Friday week (Nov 21 to 26)0
Black Friday (Nov 27)0
The weekend (Nov 28 to 29)0
Cyber Monday (Nov 30)0
After Cyber Monday (Dec 1 to 2)0
Table 5 · Holding the line179 brands
BrandCategoryOctober on saleNow on sale
Act + AcreBeauty0%0%
ALLDAYWellness0%0%
Alo YogaActivewear9%9%
AltLabsWellness0%0%
American GiantApparel44%50%
AquaTruHome & sleep0%0%
Archie & DennisApparel0%0%
ArmraWellness14%14%
ARQ8Wellness73%77%
ArraeWellness16%14%
AsaraiBeauty18%18%
Aurum VaultAccessories71%71%
Author & CoOther50%50%
AutobrushPersonal care71%71%
Avocado Green MattressHome & sleep57%62%
AxoltWellness100%100%
BearabyHome & sleep19%18%
Bearbrick AudioAccessories0%0%
BeastHome & sleep14%14%
BehaveFood & bev0%0%
BeisAccessories1%1%
BEROFood & bev0%0%
BirddogsApparel0%0%
Bloon ParisAccessories1%0%
BluelandHome & sleep38%38%
BoarderieFood & bev0%0%
Boll and BranchHome & sleep10%10%
BoomBoom NaturalsWellness0%0%
BrooklinenHome & sleep14%12%
BumblerideHome & sleep34%34%
ButcherBoxFood & bev27%26%
CadenceHome & sleep14%13%
Candy KittensFood & bev33%35%
CarpePersonal care2%2%
CaudabePersonal care0%0%
Chomps foodFood & bev0%0%
ChubbiesApparel48%48%
coldlifeWellness0%3%
Coley HomeHome & sleep1%1%
CometeerFood & bev0%0%
Cowboy ColostrumWellness47%47%
Cozy EarthHome & sleep7%7%
CraighillHome & sleep0%0%
CreateWellness62%62%
CutsApparel95%95%
D.FranklinAccessories43%41%
Dagne DoverAccessories3%3%
David ProteinFood & bev0%0%
DermalogicaBeauty47%45%
DieuxBeauty11%11%
Dollar Shave ClubPersonal care13%21%
DoseWellness0%0%
Dr. SquatchPersonal care14%15%
DRMTLGYBeauty32%32%
EllaOlaWellness2%2%
EskiinHome & sleep11%6%
Every Man JackPersonal care34%34%
Everyday DoseFood & bev14%13%
fanny nannyPersonal care25%25%
Fatty15Wellness9%12%
FeastablesFood & bev10%10%
FeeturesActivewear63%63%
Felix GrayAccessories65%65%
FellowHome & sleep8%8%
FenoPersonal care0%0%
Fenty BeautyBeauty13%10%
FlausWellness65%62%
Fly by JingFood & bev3%3%
Freaks of NatureBeauty40%39%
GlossierBeauty19%18%
GraymatterWellness18%18%
GrazaFood & bev40%40%
Grubbly FarmsPets32%32%
GrünsWellness0%0%
Happy MammothWellness58%55%
HexcladHome & sleep17%17%
HiyaWellness24%24%
HumanNWellness0%0%
HumanraceBeauty0%0%
HuppyWellness0%0%
HydrantWellness0%0%
HygieneLabPersonal care52%52%
I Love UglyApparel13%12%
Ikigai CasesAccessories11%10%
IM8Wellness5%5%
Immun DailyWellness0%0%
Instant HydrationFood & bev0%0%
JambysApparel5%5%
JonesWellness35%35%
Jones RoadBeauty7%7%
JukeboxOther0%0%
JücedFood & bev0%0%
KaexOther20%20%
KitschBeauty29%29%
KORA OrganicsBeauty6%6%
Krazy KleanHome & sleep69%69%
KuruFootwear0%0%
Laura GellerBeauty62%61%
LeLickWellness5%5%
Lemme LiveWellness44%44%
Let LooseWellness0%0%
Liquid DeathFood & bev8%8%
Liquid IVFood & bev25%25%
LoamWellness0%0%
LoftieHome & sleep14%11%
Loop EarplugsAccessories0%0%
Love WellnessWellness3%3%
LYMAWellness3%3%
MadhappyApparel0%0%
Magic SpoonFood & bev14%11%
MagnaWellness0%0%
Maison CustomApparel0%0%
Manta SleepHome & sleep49%50%
ManukoraFood & bev33%30%
Mars MenPersonal care100%68%
Maryruth OrganicsWellness10%10%
Mellow SleepWellness93%93%
metabioticsWellness100%100%
Mid Day SquaresFood & bev0%0%
MiilsFood & bev14%14%
MindBellyWellness50%50%
MomentFood & bev4%5%
MomentousWellness0%0%
MuseWellness33%33%
Native PetPets0%10%
Native UnionAccessories38%38%
NegativeApparel48%47%
NeuroWellness38%34%
Nice LaundryHome & sleep10%10%
NodpodHome & sleep13%12%
notcoyOther4%4%
NuropodWellness0%0%
NutropsWellness0%0%
ObviWellness58%58%
OneSkinBeauty33%36%
OrionWellness13%13%
OSEABeauty21%23%
ParachuteHome & sleep11%11%
PhoneSoapAccessories30%30%
PickieFood & bev0%0%
Pique LifeFood & bev10%11%
Plant PeopleWellness0%0%
PoubelHome & sleep0%0%
Pretty ProteinFood & bev0%0%
PromixFood & bev8%8%
realsyFood & bev0%0%
RefyBeauty14%14%
RhodeBeauty0%0%
Rogue SnacksFood & bev60%60%
RonningOther1%1%
SaladPowerFood & bev0%0%
sansBeauty0%0%
Sarah FlintFootwear46%46%
SAXXApparel46%46%
SHIFTOther5%5%
SpacegoodsWellness64%64%
Sporty & RichApparel0%0%
StamenOther0%0%
StanleyHome & sleep21%20%
StasisWellness19%19%
Sun PowderWellness0%0%
Sunday CitizenHome & sleep38%35%
SURIOther18%20%
TabuOther45%50%
The Skinny ConfidentialBeauty0%0%
TherabodyWellness0%0%
TouchlandPersonal care0%0%
True ClassicApparel37%38%
TushyHome & sleep1%1%
UndoWellness0%0%
unhideOther3%3%
VispFood & bev5%4%
WaterboyFood & bev0%0%
waterdropFood & bev27%26%
WESNApparel14%13%
Wild RomanOther15%15%
WMP EyewearAccessories20%19%
Zenos HealthWellness0%0%
Zesty PawsPets14%14%

How this is measured.

Every night a crawler reads the public product catalog of each brand's Shopify store, at a slow, steady pace, and records which items show a compare-at price above their price. That gives each brand an on-sale share and a discount depth for every night since early October. A brand is in this tracker when it has at least 21 October nights. Its October median is its normal; BFCM is measured against that, brand by brand.

Catalog prices miss discounts applied only at checkout with a code. Those show up in email, so the tracker also reads the promo emails each brand sends to a signup we made, one per brand. No form other than a newsletter signup was ever submitted, nothing was bought, and no brand's own data is used.

For the welcome popups the same brands show, see the DTC Welcome Offer Tracker. For the case against going deep, see BFCM without discounts and what to offer instead of a discount. Reading your own offer against these brands before Black Friday is a week of The Read.

Common questions.

How do you know a brand is discounting?

Each brand is compared with its own October. When the share of its catalog on sale rises at least 10 points above its October median, or it sends a sitewide promo email, it counts as discounting. Measuring against the brand's own normal means a store that always shows a compare-at price is not counted as running a sale.

Which brands are in it?

182 DTC brands on Shopify that we crawl nightly and that have at least 21 nights of October data. The list comes from The Handoff brand directory.

Does it include discount codes?

Codes applied at checkout don't change catalog prices, so the crawl can't see them. The email columns cover them for the brands we are signed up to.

How often is it updated?

Every three days from November 1, then daily from November 24 through December 2. The date at the top of the page is the date of the data.

Who maintains this
Taylor Sicard

Co-founded WIN Brands Group, a DTC operator and acquirer with a multi-brand portfolio, where he ran diligence and post-close integration on the brands worth buying, and quietly passed on the ones that were not. Has sat on the buy side pricing distressed consumer brands, and on the operator side keeping brands out of that column. Advises founders and acquirers on the unit economics that separate a durable business from one running on borrowed time.

Full background →